With the most recent ASX200 Rebalance - To compare CUV, mkt cap $922m Free Float 79.4%
While some of the new additions are about the same they have dropped in share price over the last 12 months, where as CUV share price has been flat. I would think the stock price would need to be consistently at $25 for re-entry to the index.
The Short book controls the roost while new investors are not attracted. Shorts are in no rush - they could get into trouble when AIS results are in. If that indication progresses to phase 3 the DCF does kick up heavily. Same with DNA repair.
There are 4 pools of potential new investors: a) Insto - these would require a compelling story and likely pay off period b) Mid Tier brokers with High Net Worth Clients - same as insto but requires research and a DCF that is probable, c) Family Offices - these are basically High Net worth, behind closed doors cutting out the Broker, you grab them before you float - that is the greed motivator is the driver... mid term payoff, d) Retail online: Been tapped out in Aust, Euro and US - but what drives them in a post free money world with inflation... It is still short term greed or FOMO. FOMO is hard to build when the timelines and expectations are not met.
There is plenty to like and a lot of potential good news on the horizon, but there always is. The company is targeting group C. But why? Raise cash to drive phase 3 and acquisition or put a floor on share price? Would existing shareholders get the same offer price?
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